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“Shut Up,” he explained
March 21st, 2007 by Seth Shapiro

There are way too many columns about the future of online video.

I recently imported all of my 2006 email onto my current laptop. Thousands of pieces of text, containing a hundred predictions from friends and strangers on the future of media. Guess what? A year later, they were almost all wrong.

Helio didn’t change the face of mobile. YouTube didn’t go under. Microsoft didn’t buy Yahoo.
There must be some mathematical proof to this effect, namely: if it were easy to do everyone would do it. If it was easy to predict it would be easy to monetize.

The growth of any top growth media area is by definition unknowable.

Let’s let the future unfold a bit, and shut up.



Posted: March 21st, 2007 under » Editorial.
Comments: 1

Viacom sues YouTube/Google for $1B
March 13th, 2007 by Seth Shapiro

Posted by: Seth Shapiro

The suit that stalked Sequoia’s $1.65B deal has been filed in SDNY. Thrust of the case is the intuitively compelling point that if a site can screen effectively for porn (which YouTube does), it should be able to apply the same methodology to screening for copyrighted material (YouTube does not).

The doc is plain-spoken.  Excerpts:

YouTube’s website purports to be a forum for users to share their own original, user generated, video content. In reality, however, a vast amount of that content consists of infringing copies of Plaintiffs’ copyrighted works… Plaintiffs have identified more than 150,000 unauthorized clips of their copyrighted programming on YouTube that had been viewed an astounding 1.5 billion times… YouTube does not simply
enable massive infringement by its users. It is YouTube that knowingly reproduces and
publicly performs the copyrighted works uploaded to its site.



Posted: March 13th, 2007 under » Finance, » Media.
Comments: 1