There are way too many columns about the future of online video.

I recently imported all of my 2006 email onto my current laptop. Thousands of pieces of text, containing a hundred predictions from friends and strangers on the future of media. Guess what? A year later, they were almost all wrong.

Helio didn’t change the face of mobile. YouTube didn’t go under. Microsoft didn’t buy Yahoo.
There must be some mathematical proof to this effect, namely: if it were easy to do everyone would do it. If it was easy to predict it would be easy to monetize.

The growth of any top growth media area is by definition unknowable.

Let’s let the future unfold a bit, and shut up.